Personal reflections on urbanism, urban life and sustainable urban design in Wellington, New Zealand.

Friday, December 08, 2006

Where the Boys Are - part 3

I said yesterday that there wasn't enough detail to update my "man drought" maps yet, but there is enough regional data to do some rough geographic analysis. I defined a couple of simple "man drought indices" (one for the 20-39 age group, and one for 25-49) based upon the ratio of men to women in each region. For instance, a drought index of 15% means that for every 100 men, there are 115 women, and one of -9% means that for every 100 men there are only 91 women. Here are the results across all the city and district councils (click to enlarge):

While most places do indeed suffer (if that's the word!) from a man drought, in other places it's the opposite. Most of the extra men are in rural areas, but for any women not willing to travel to the Chathams in search of a man, the Queenstown-Lakes District may be more to your liking. That may be due to an influx of hunky outdoors types from exotic locales, or it may be lonely, grizzled Southern Men. She's a hard road finding the perfect woman, son.

In the Wellington region, most cities are about as drought-stricken as the national average, but there's one anomaly: Upper Hutt. There's a very slight man drought in the 25-49 age group, but in the 20-39 cohort it's the only urban area to have more men than women. So there's hope for Wellington women, but also a catch: you'd better develop a taste for Holdens and black jeans.


At 1:21 pm, December 08, 2006, Blogger Baz said...

Why choose two age groups with such a big overlap? Wouldn't it have made more sense to do 20-34/35-49?

Just for once I'll refrain from the obvious "competition with sheep in rural areas" warning.

At 2:00 pm, December 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

As for Otorohanga district... Waikeria prison is within it's boundaries, might skew the numbers slightly?

At 2:50 pm, December 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ruapehu District is home to the Waiouru Military Base, so plenty of boys up that way.

At 1:57 am, December 09, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Could always follow my brother's example. He jetted off to Londonistan for a two-year working holiday - and brought back more than just stories and photos. :)

I think the same will work for me, personally I wouldn't mind somewhere like SF or Vansterdam.

At 3:29 pm, December 09, 2006, Blogger Tom said...

Baz: I did it that way for perfectly good reasons. 25-49 because it covers the range with the most significant man drought. Then 20-39 because I remembered that that's the way I did it earlier :-)

Otorohanga & Ruapehu are both small districts, so something like a prison or army camp could indeed make a significant difference. The absolute difference for the 20-39 age group is an extra 309 and 84 men for the two regions districts respectively. In Upper Hutt the difference is only 99 men, so perhaps that could be put down to Rimutaka prison, too? Perhaps I'd better add "tattoos and orange jumpsuits" to the "Holdens and black jeans" requirement.


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